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Mutual funds are having their best start to a year in almost a decade. Goldman Sachs shares the 14 new stocks they love the most after analyzing $2.6 trillion of their holdings.

February 23, 2021
Reading Time:5min read

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With red-hot ETFs, individual stocks, SPACs, and cryptocurrencies grabbing all the headlines, it’s hard to believe that mutual funds are making a comeback this year, but they really are, according to Goldman Sachs.

Goldman’s portfolio strategy team, which analyzed the positioning of 507 stock mutual funds with $2.7 trillion in assets under management, said in a Monday research note that 57% of large-cap mutual funds have beaten their benchmarks year-to-date, marking their strongest start in almost a decade.

GS CHART

The team said these funds’ highest-conviction stock holdings and factor exposures have contributed to their above-average relative returns this year as of February 12. 

In fact, since Pfizer announced the efficacy of its COVID-19 vaccine in early November, Goldman’s basket of most overweight mutual fund positions (GSTHMFOW) has returned 15% so far, outperforming its basket of most underweight mutual fund positions (GSTHMFUW) by 6.5%.

In addition to high-conviction stock-picking, the outperformance of these funds is aided by their increased exposure to the value factor, which is at their highest level on record, Goldman said. 

On top of that, fund managers’ rotation into cyclical sectors such as industrials, financials, and materials since the fourth quarter has also helped generate returns amid the reopening of the economy and continued rollout of vaccines.

To identify the most over- and under-weight positions of long-only mutual fund managers, Goldman analyzed $2.6 trillion of individual stock holdings from 443 large-cap core, growth, and value mutual funds.

Historically, the portfolio of most overweight mutual fund positions is comprised of 50 Russell 1000 stocks where the average large-cap core, growth, and value mutual fund is most overweight relative to a blended benchmark. 

With the recent rebalancing of the portfolio, the team has identified 14 new stocks favored by mutual fund managers. Goldman said these stocks can be used to “follow mutual fund preferences or to locate contrarian opportunities,” but cautioned that they have a large-cap stock bias. 

For example, the overweight mutual fund positions basket has a median market cap of $66 billion, compared to the $14 billion median market cap for the Russell 1000 index. 

These stocks, along with their tickers, market caps, and average fund weights, are listed below in alphabetical order. 

SEE ALSO: A star fund manager specializing in Chinese small-cap stocks lays out the 3 key pillars driving the country’s ‘vicious cycle of innovation’ — and shares the 3 sectors where she’s finding long-term opportunities

1. Autodesk

Ticker: ADSK

Market cap: $67.30 billion 

Average fund weight: 0.3%

Source: Goldman Sachs

2. Ameriprise Financial

Ticker: AMP

Market cap: $26.54 billion 

Average fund weight: 0.1%

Source: Goldman Sachs

3. The Bank of New York Mellon

Ticker: BK

Market cap: $37.61 billion

Average fund weight: 0.2%

Source: Goldman Sachs

4. Crown Holdings

Ticker: CCK

Market cap: $13.64 billion

Average fund weight: 0.1%

Source: Goldman Sachs

5. Cisco Systems

Ticker: CSCO

Market cap: $193.24 billion 

Average fund weight: 0.6%

Source: Goldman Sachs

6. Fiserv

Ticker: FISV

Market cap: $74.83 billion 

Average fund weight: 0.3%

Source: Goldman Sachs

7. Liberty Media

Ticker: FWONA

Market cap: $9.4 billion 

Average fund weight: 0.1%

Source: Goldman Sachs

8. General Electric

Ticker: GE

Market cap: $105.63 billion 

Average fund weight: 0.4%

Source: Goldman Sachs

9. General Motors

Ticker: GM

Market cap: $75.92 billion 

Average fund weight: 0.2%

Source: Goldman Sachs

10. Johnson Controls International

Ticker: JCI

Market cap: $40.44 billion 

Average fund weight: 0.2%

Source: Goldman Sachs

11. KKR & Co.

Ticker: KKR

Market cap: $26.83 billion 

Average fund weight: 0.1%

Source: Goldman Sachs

12. Lululemon Athletica

Ticker: LULU

Market cap: $43.40 billion 

Average fund weight: 0.1%

Source: Goldman Sachs

13. Marvell Technology

Ticker: MRVL

Market cap: $34.85 billion 

Average fund weight: 0.1%

Source: Goldman Sachs

14. The Sherwin-Williams Co.

Ticker: SHW

Market cap: $65.26 billion 

Average fund weight: 0.2%

Source: Goldman Sachs

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Originally published at https://www.businessinsider.com/stock-picks-14-new-mutual-fund-manager-favorites-goldman-sachs-2021-2 on February 23, 2021 12:02 pm.

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